Report: the phase-out of gas and adoption of electric vehicles!

Bloomberg recently released reports that nearly 80 percent of the global auto market is pushing toward phase-out of petroleum cars and adoption of electric vehicles.





Their article suggests that EV sales will overtake internal combustion engines in just over 20 years - sooner than some governments & companies expected!

When do you think EV sales will overtake the internal combustion engine - do these estimates seem possible?

Source: Bloomberg https://bloom.bg/2wLWUce

Germany, France, the U.K., and Norway have all set deadlines for the END of sales of ICE vehicles. Volvo has announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any *new* vehicle with an internal combustion engine (they will, however, continue to sell older models that are ICE after 2019).

The writing is on the wall.

SparkE said:

Volvo has announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any *new* vehicle with an internal combustion engine

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No, that's not true. Volvo announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any new vehicle without an electric motor. There is a big difference because a standard (non-plug-in) hybrid has an electric motor, but its sole source of energy is gasoline (even the regen is just recapturing energy that originally came from burning gas).

http://www.npr.org/2017/07/05/53566...n-engine-for-electric-motors-starting-in-2019

NPR said:

The company says all the vehicles it makes will be electric or hybrid starting in 2019.

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GetOffYourGas said:

SparkE said:

Volvo has announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any *new* vehicle with an internal combustion engine

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No, that's not true. Volvo announced that after 2019, they will not introduce any new vehicle without an electric motor.

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Exactly!!! I've seen so much mis-reporting on this it's been driving me nuts.

The Volvo announcement isn't what most people seem to think it is - but it's certainly an important step in the right direction.

SeanNelson said:

The Volvo announcement isn't what most people seem to think it is - but it's certainly an important step in the right direction.

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I've received emails from five different people telling me that Volvo isn't going to sell cars that use gasoline anymore - which of course, isn't at all the case. It's amazing on how much Green cred Volvo is picking up from their announcement - perhaps that's largely a result of how their press release is being misinterpreted.

I'd agree with the OP's 20-year timeline, but only to the point that all cars, trucks, buses, and semis will also have an electric motor. As cool as the Tesla Semi looks, the nationwide logistics & timelines of moving freight (especially perishable goods) on battery power alone is a tough challenge.

https://www.wired.com/2017/06/elon-musk-tesla-semi-truck-battery/

oilerlord said:

SeanNelson said:

I'd agree with the OP's 20-year timeline, but only to the point that all cars, trucks, buses, and semis will also have an electric motor. As cool as the Tesla Semi looks, the nationwide logistics & timelines of moving freight (especially perishable goods) on battery power alone is a tough challenge.

https://www.wired.com/2017/06/elon-musk-tesla-semi-truck-battery/

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But it's also reasonable to assume road freight can be done in a parallel hybrid way using some generator whether it's a diesel generator turbine/fuel cell/flow battery etc. like the way we've been moving the majority of land freight for most of the last century. That Telsa beast is a bit fanciful and really only "practical" for relatively short reparative jobs, which there is a place for.