tgreene said:
People without access to overnight L2 charging will also need DCFCs to enable them to use EVs with some convenience. Condos, apartments, and urban houses often do not come with any sort of powered parking spot, and that impacts a LOT of people. These folks will indeed need >100 kW DCFCs to use their cars conveniently.
I covered the fact that such people may not be able to charge overnight (
don't have a garage (well, an overnight or overday {like at work}) charging location), and that they would
like fast charging - but it doesn't
need to be super-fast. Will some people not buy a BEV this coming March because of it? Yeah. But that isn't needed for BEVs to become more popular - even significantly more popular. Not every transportation solution is convenient for everybody. Some people won't buy BEVs. Some people don't buy diesel. Some people don't buy cars at all - in fact, some of the people you highlighted : those living in an urban environment without reserved parking (appt/condo dwellers) who have decent public transportation. Such as my daughter, who either takes her bicycle or public transit EVERYWHERE and is fine with that. So some people won't buy BEVs until the public charging infrastructure is better. So? You can't do everything for everybody all at once. You pick and choose the solutions to address, one by one (or three by three - but NOT all at once for everybody). And a person living in an appt who doesn't have a private/reserved parking spot really isn't the clientele that one should target first as a prospective $40,000 car buyer.
But just because one doesn't live in a house doesn't mean that L2 charging wouldn't be readily available. Appt complexes in my area are installing EVSEs because quite a few prospective renters don't sign up if there aren't EVSEs available (but then, I think that about half of the ZEVs sold in the U.S. were sold in CA, so there's more pressure for L2 charging than elsewhere in the U.S. today). So many of the apartment complexes around here
have (pay) L2 chargers. In CA (and hopefully soon in other states) appt complexes (and condos) MUST allow tenants to install EVSEs if they want to. Of course the tenant must pay for the install - but then I would have to pay for an L2 install at my house as well (mine is just inside). These are appt complexes that have reserved parking, of course. There are also EVSEs at workplaces - for over-day charging while at work.
And L3 chargers (40-50 kW) are springing up more and more rapidly around here by places that want to attract customers with BEVs : restaurants, supermarkets, shopping malls. Many of the malls around here have multiple L3 chargers, just about every Whole Foods around here has at least one L3 (and several L2) chargers, and I can think of one place off the top of my head that is a 'restaurant mall' (a bunch of restaurants in an upscale area) that just installed
FOUR 50kW DCFC chargers about 5 months ago. You go there, plug in for 30-45 minutes while you are doing your thing, and then head out.
As an experiment last month (Sep) I went 3 weeks without charging at home. I used L2 chargers at my market (Nob Hill/Raleys/Bel Air), at several restaurants, shopping for clothes (OK, underwear) at Kohl's, at an appt complex near shopping, at BestBuy when I bought a USB3 flash drive (and looked at the new ChromeBooks), and at multiple libraries (San Jose city, Santa Clara city, Cupertino {damn expensive, BTW}, and Campbell). I used DCFC chargers at Whole Foods (some 45 kW, one a paltry 18 kW) and at the drug store, also a slower 22 kW charger. And I used 'work' L2 chargers when I met friends for lunch at their workplace. The price per kWh at all of those chargers was *about* the same price as at home (a little more expensive, but not much). It was no inconvenience for me at all, as I was there doing things I would be doing anyways. I didn't plug in every time I went, I just plugged in when there was a spot available. I *could* have used L2 charging the 2 times I went to the mall for dinner (Santana row - upscale), but the EVSEs are Blink network, and damn expensive (69 cents per kWh!!) - but still avail in a pinch. Oh, and I used a 50 kW DCFC at Facebook when I went to SFO to pick somebody up. All of my 'experiment' had NO overnight charging, and I never filled up the battery completely. I never got under 15 miles range left on the Guess-O-Meter in those 2 weeks, and I ended the week with about an 85% charge. (Then we drove over the hill to Santa Cruz on the weekend and I came back in the evening with about 25 mi left and plugged in in the garage overnight. Surprisingly, hippy-dippy Santa Cruz has a lot less EVSEs around than the South Bay, where they are EVERYWHERE. Sure, there's fewer people, but there are only about 20 plugs available in&around Santa Cruz - and 6 {a third!} are up on the University campus!. I would have used the L3 charger at Whole Foods in SC, but there was a line and I asked everybody waiting how much elec they would need and what plan they had - EVERYBODY in line had free charge cards. Vendors should STOP giving out free charge cards!)
With the decent L2 coverage in my area, I really didn't need to do overnight charging. And I only used the L3 charging *because* my range was so small (a tad over 80 miles on the freeway) - if I had 200+ miles range then I would have found a way to park for 4-5 hours at one of the underused EVSEs (there are several places around that never have less than 50% of the EV spaces available - such as at the appt complex between 10AM-4PM). I mainly use DCFC charging when I *go* somewhere OR I am getting low (fast charging is fastest, and hurts the battery the least, when the battery is low). Perfect example: San Francisco is a 60 mile drive. If I had a Bolt I could drive there & back without recharging, and so I wouldn't be stopping at DCFCs on the way there or back.
Anyhow, with a decent L2 network, and L3 chargers (even the slower ones) at places you are likely to go, it's easily possible to drive an EV even without overnight charging. With overnight charging, you don't need much of a L2 network. And the L3 network should be for 'emergencies' when you need to add some miles, not routinely as your main charging strategy EXCEPT for long distance traveling, where speed of charging is very important and that is where the super-fast charging (90-135 kW for CCS2) realls NEEDS to be installed.
But then my outlook, experiences, and situation obviously aren't going to be the same for everybody or even a majority. For example :
- I live in an area whose EV infrastructure is already what most other areas will be like
maybe 5+ years from now. Public L2 locations out the wazoo, L3 chargers every five miles (or closer), multiple L3 stalls/plugs at many locations.
- I'm a family guy. I have more than one car available. I can take an ICE when my EV isn't convenient. I can see that a single 20-something might not buy a BEV.
- I don't have to deal with 10 degree (F) weather. And rarely, anything below 32F (it happens every year, but it isn't 'the norm' Dec-Mar as it is in other places).
I really think that if you had to pick ONE 'biggest thing' stopping people from buying a BEV it's
the idea that they can't just jump in the car and take off and drive 300 miles away for the weekend because it is so darn inconvenient (or close to impossible). I think that's the gating item (?the tipping point?) for getting more and more BEVs on the road. Once there are 3- or 6-stall 90+ kW DC
SFC stations along the major arteries, every 75-125 miles then the 'oooh, I can't drive to Vegas (or Tahoe, or Big Sur, or ...) for the weekend' boogey man goes away. And then they realize that they don't do it very often, and tell their friends that it really isn't a big deal - you
can do it if you want to, but really you just don't do it very often. So after that a lot more people buy BEVs. Maybe at first mainly the ones who DO have overnight charging available to them. Then, as a consequence in our supply-and-demand economy, more workplaces and appts and businesses (where people go for 2-4 hours) put in L2s . And more 'not-super-fast' L3 chargers show up (places of 30-60 minute visits : restaurants, food supermarkets, malls). Etc, etc.